Posted by Fred on October 15, 2004
In Reply to: Fallacies posted by R. Berg on October 15, 2004
: : : Hi,
: : : Thank you very much for all of your answers. I wonder if I can use "misconception","myth", or "fallacy" to describe the idea I tried to express? The idea is that 'something seems to speak for itself, but there's something tricky or shaky if you have a close examination. Like some principles or doctrines that seem authentic and true, when you have thought them over, there may be some loopholes." Thank you once again.
: : : Leslie
: : I found a website about misleading arguments used when presenting a point. I couldn't find the page in my favourites - but it is there in cyberspace somewhere. I remember a book called "straight and crooked thinking" on the same lines.
: : I would suggest "fallacy" is the closest to what you describe, but I have heard the word "chimera" used for something that seems to be something and is not - an illusion or a mirage.
: : I particularly like the expression "smoke and mirrors" to describe something misleading.
: : L
: How about "sophistry"?
Knowing about the Monte Carlo fallacy is worthwhile. Don't think that because the ball dropped in a red slot (rather than a black slot) the last four times that it is more likely to fall in a black slot the next time!!!