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"got to" and again on the breaststroke joke

Posted by Sphinx on March 13, 2004

Here are 2 passages in which the phrase "got to" is used. What does "get" mean exactly here? Colloquial? Any frequently-used exmaples?

1.DONALD RUMSFELD, DEFENSE SECRETARY: You got to remember if Washington, D.C. were the size of Baghdad, we would be having something like 215 murders a month, and it is -- there's going to be violence in a big city. It's 5.5 million people. For the most part, it's in that area I described. That's where the active -- and it tends not to be at this stage random killings.

2."It's hard to control the release of a book," says Pat Yzerman, a vice president at Scribner, which published Meili's book. "If you were to count the number of hands that a book passes through from production to the date of release, it's got to be around 5,000."

And forgive me for being late on the breaststroke joke. What does that woman mean exactly by saying "I don't want to sound like I'm a sore loser"? Did she used his arms?